There’s Still A Way For England To Get Out Of Their World Cup Group, And It’s Not As Impossible As You’d Think

England’s 2-1 loss to Uruguay on Thursday dealt a blow to their World Cup hopes, but they aren’t out of the tournament just yet.

Their path to getting out of Group D is actually not as impossible as you’d think.

Here’s what would need to happen, in order.

1. Italy beats Costa Rica (40% chance of happening, according to SPI).

2. England beats Costa Rica (45% chance of happening, according to SPI).

3. Italy beats Uruguay (33% chance of happening, according to SPI).

4. England’s goal difference (currently -2) is better than Costa Rica’s (currently +2) and Uruguay’s (current -1) after all games are played.

Italy would win the group with nine points and England, Uruguay, and Costa Rica would all have three points. England would go through if they somehow have the best goal difference of those three teams (which is unlikely, but possible if the results fall right).

Nate Silver gives it a 3.5% chance of happening.

The easiest path: Italy beats Costa Rica 2-0, England beats Costa Rica 2-0, and Italy beats Uruguay 2-0, and Three Lions would go through.

A lot needs to happen, but there is a way out of this for England.

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Why NBA matches are best for betting predictions

The basketball matches from NBA allow every bettor to create many different betting strategies. It is mostly because of the huge number of matches every team plays in the league. Besides, basketball is a sport that gives much more betting information than football for example, as the teams score many points, which allows better statistical analysis for the class of every team.

That is why recently I have focused my efforts on basketball and especially on the NBA matches.

My latest betting system, which is connected with NBA matches, involves considering the last six matches of each team. The system is extremely simple, but effective enough.

To use this betting system I record the home and away results of each team. When I make my betting predictions for the matches I write down in an excel sheet the total points scored by the host in their last six home matches. In another excel cell I write down the number of points scored against the host in their last six home matches. Then I do the same for the guests where I take into account only their matches away from home.

When I have the needed betting data, I calculate the difference between the numbers of scored and allowed points, thus getting a positive or a negative number. This number or let’s call it a team factor is the number which shows the team’s strength.

Based on this number I divide the teams into five groups, where the higher number means a stronger team. All that remains to do is to carefully track how the teams in one group are presented against the teams in other groups.
When I get enough betting data about every possible match, I start looking for a good value bet.

The information I collect is mostly related to the exact difference of a victory of either teams, as well as the margin suggested by the bookmaker.

So far the system runs more than successful as it allows with an additional analysis of matches to achieve very good results in my bets on NBA basketball matches.

Betting on Basketball

Basketball is a sport that is popular among sports bettors from the United States (NBA) and Europe (Eurobasket) alike. Though there are a number of different leagues, the game follows the same format when it comes to betting. Like most sports, basketball uses point spreads as one of their primary wagering options. In addition to point spreads, money line and over under bets are also popular. All three of these types of bets are common across the sports betting spectrum, and they will work in almost the exact same way no matter what type of sport you are betting on. With that in mind, the spreads in a basketball game are often times much higher than you would ever find in baseball, hockey, or soccer. A dominant NBA team playing the worst team in the league could easily result in a point spread that is 15 or more points.

Depending on the time of the year, injuries, and so on and so forth, the spreads could be skewed in one direction or another. The Lakers could be a 12 point favorite over the Bulls on February 3rd, but then find themselves as 3 point underdogs on March 5th. This isn’t something that tends to happen in a sport like baseball, largely because losing one player has a much larger impact on a basketball team than a baseball team. The Yankees will not do better if they lose Derek Jeter, but they would still be a phenomenal team. The opposite of this would be the Lakers losing Kobe Bryant, a situation where Los Angeles would struggle mightily. Some factors are easier to consider than others, but true success in basketball wagering is found by bettors who are able to spot the smaller elements that can play notable roles. Home court advantage, a slumping team, and other variables all play into the end game equation for basketball bettors. This gets much more into the basketball betting strategy side of things, though, and are areas for consideration once you have the basics down pat.

Betting on Basketball with a Point Spread

The first line of nba betting strategy would be the point spread which is the most commonly referenced type of bet in basketball. The spread is a way for bookmakers to even out both sides of any given game. If it was not for the spread, the only way to bet on basketball would be through a money line, and money lines are often not even available when a matchup is particularly lopsided. Point spreads are easy to understand; the only information that you will need is how to read the different symbols that are used to indicate how the line is set. An example of a point spread line would be Toronto Raptors (-8) -110 vs. New Jersey Nets (+8) +120. There are a handful of + and – symbols in this “equation,” as well as a few different sets of numbers. Though a bit overwhelming at first, these are not complicated in the least.

Let’s take a look at the first set of numbers (-8 and +8). These figures represent the amount of points that are being given or taken from a team. Another way to look at the -8 and +8 is to say that they are the handicap used to even out the playing field. What this means is that a team is either an 8 point favorite or an 8 point underdog. In this example, the Raptors are favored to win the game by 8 points, while the Nets are expected to lose by 8 points. If you place your bet on Toronto, you will need the Raptors to win by more than 8 points. If you bet on the Raptors and they either lose or win by less than 8 points, you will lose the wager. On the other side of the coin, a bet on the Nets will win whenever New Jersey either wins the game or loses by less than 8 points. This means that you would win your wager even if New Jersey loses by 1-7 points. In this example, a Toronto win of 8 points would equate to a push where all bets are refunded. This is how the point spread itself is read on a line. The next step is to then calculate the odds and payout.

-110 and +120 are set next to each team on this particular line. These numbers are indicative of the corresponding payouts for both teams. The – symbol means that Toronto is a favorite, while the + symbol means that the Nets are an underdog. Using the numbers above, a $110 bet on the Raptors would yield a $100 return. A $100 bet on the Nets would return $120. As you can see, betting on the underdog will make you more money per dollar wagered, but it is also riskier. These numbers are set and adjusted by odds makers according to how many bets are placed on each side of the action. If everyone bets on the Nets right away, the spread could move to +7 or +6, or the payout could be slightly reduced. Point spreads are very popular among sports bettors and are not nearly as difficult to understand as they might seem.

Betting on Basketball with a Money Line

Betting on the money line is like betting against the spread without having a spread. If that made no sense to you, don’t be worried, it will all be clear in a minute. Money lines give bettors the opportunity to simply bet on the winner and/or loser in a game. If the Knicks are playing the Bobcats, all that you would do is pick the team who you think will win. The catch is that the odds will always be proportioned so that the payouts equate to the actual lines. It would be a disaster for sports books if they let players bet on the Celtics every game of the year at even money. A money line of Wizards +500 vs. Thunder -550 would mean that the Thunder are sizable favorites. Using this example, a $100 bet on the Wizards would earn a $500 return. If you bet on the Thunder in this game, you would need to bet $550 to win $100. The risk and reward with money line bets is obvious. You will get paid off when you bet on an underdog, but you won’t win as frequently if you bet on the favorites. There is a lot of inherent variance with money line bets no matter how you look at it.

Betting on Basketball with an Over Under

The over under is the closest thing to flipping a coin in basketball betting. An over under is the total amount of points scored by the two teams in a game combined. If an over under was 170 for the Warriors and Heat, a final score of 90-85 would go over (175 points). If the score was 85-80, it would be under (165). Over unders are very tricky to bet because overtime periods, player injuries, and other factors will often play the deciding role in the final outcome, but they are impossible to compensate for. If a big scorer gets knocked out in the first quarter, your odds of hitting the over will have been drastically reduced, while the under will be everything but a lock. Over unders are a sizable risk and are most profitable for sports bettors who rely on systems and a lot of analytical data.

Germany will seek impressive start vs. Portugal

Cristiano Ronaldo and his Portugal teammates can expect to come under massive early pressure in their World Cup opener against Germany on Monday.

Germany always prepares meticulously for its opening match at a tournament and has the results to show for it — winning 12 of its 17 World Cup openers and losing only once, 2-1 to Algeria in 1982. Germany bounced back to reach the final that year.

Coach Joachim Loew has made little secret of his game plan in the Group G match — to play high-tempo football right from the start and to wear down the Portuguese in the midday heat and humidity of Salvador.

Germany is based a short flight away in similar conditions on the Atlantic coast and has been training at the local kickoff time of 1 p.m (1600 GMT).

Loew has a healthy respect for Portugal and its star striker, calling Ronaldo’s team a “world champion in counterattacking.”

“They are ranked just behind us at No. 4 (Germany is No. 2), and they are not just about Ronaldo,” Loew said. “Portugal is an extremely dangerous team.”

Perhaps, but Portugal has not had much luck against Germany. Germany won 3-1 in the match for third place at the 2006 World Cup, beat Portugal 3-2 at the 2008 European Championship and won again 1-0 at the start of its Euro 2012 campaign.

“Still, they keep on reaching semifinals. They are a hard nut to crack,” Loew said.

There have been some doubts about Ronaldo’s fitness following a left-knee injury but FIFA’s player of the year trained normally at the end of the week.

“You can’t shut him down completely, he is a player who scores 50 goals a season,” the Germany coach said. “But we’ve watched a lot of videos, we know his running patterns, how he likes to lurk behind defenders.

“It has to be a team effort against him.”

Germany arrived in Brazil a week ago with plenty of injury worries, but Loew exuded confidence in his only news conference earlier this week.

“The injury situation is getting better by the day and that’s why I am in a good mood,” he said.

Still, injuries are forcing Loew to tinker with his lineup. Captain Philipp Lahm, usually right back, is likely to move into a defensive midfield role. Sami Khedira is expected to be the other defensive midfielder but he lacks match practice after missing six months with a knee injury. Lahm himself missed most of the training camp with an ankle problem, while Bastian Schweinsteiger will probably be on the bench as he has been nursing a knee injury as well.

With the injured Marco Reus ruled out of the World Cup, Lukas Podolski could return to the starting 11 as an attacking midfielder.

Germany’s defense could consist of four players who usually play as central defenders, with Jerome Boateng moving to the right flank to take Lahm’s place. Boateng defended well against Ronaldo two years ago at Euro 2012.

Striker Miroslav Klose, who needs two goals to break the World Cup record of 15 held by Brazil’s Ronaldo, is likely to be on the bench, with Loew favoring a “false nine” system with deep-lying forwards rather than traditional strikers.

Betting with the bookie’s money

When we do betting one of the most important things is to be sure not to bet with our own money, but to do it with money from the bookmaker. You can say it in other words, we have to be sure that at the end of the month we will not end with losses.

This generally is one of the hardest things to achieve when betting and in reality the percentage of people who gain profit from betting is really small. However, there are ways with strict discipline to gain some profit from betting or at least to limit your losses to a minimum.

One of those ways, whether your bookie is bet365, William Hill and bet-at-home, is to carefully check on paper your system for betting before you play it with real money.

In this way you can be assured that your system is profitable before you start betting with real money.

Another option, which allows you to bet immediately is to play only when your system is profitable and not to bet when it isn’t. This really simple option is very practical and is completely inexplicable why it is not used by absolutely all players.

The idea is as follows. You have a betting system you want to check or play. You bet on the first match from your system. If it is successful, you continue betting while you have the profits from your first bet. If you continue to win, you continue playing, because your system is profitable.

However, if you start accumulating losses, then you stop gambling with real money and start on a paper trial for your system until you realize what is wrong.

With this very simple way, you guarantee you will do betting without losing money or in the worst case you will lose a percentage of your bankroll up to the amount of a single bet. So, if you have the necessary self-discipline, without any effort you will ensure that at least you won’t lose money from sports betting.

Something that is hard to be achieved for more than 90% of the bettors worldwide.

Betting is fun!

Sports betting can be not only an option for bringing additional profits but also can give lots of interesting possibilities for different types of games among those who are interested in sports. Often, on online sports betting forums you can see a number of different betting games that the participants in these forums played with each other.

Here are some examples that if you are interested enough you can join without a problem at any time.

One of the most common challenges is who first will be able to make 100 consecutive winning bets. The size of the odds for the bets is not a factor at all. The only goal is to reach 100 winning bets. This seems like a relatively easy task, but it turns out that it is not. There is almost no bettor who has succeeded in this game and it can be even said that most of them pretty quickly managed to lose their money.

Another game associated with sports betting, which is preferred by many is to lay the accurate results on a football match. Here the goal is clear, the punter mustn’t predict correctly the actual result of a match. The longer you manage to do it, the better it is. Here the success rate is quite high, often we can see series of over 100 and more successful bets. Of course, the odds are so low that the player doesn’t get any significant profit, but it is a real pleasure to have such a long series of successful bets.

Of course, the most beloved of all betting forums games is the direct competition. The players are divided into pairs, each of which is given a number of matches per day. Who gets better predictions goes further. Thus knockout leads to an eventual winner who gets a virtual bowl.

You can see that sports betting is much more than just giving money to the bookmaker. It can also be a source of sufficient additional emotions, even without betting real money.

Under 2.5 goals in the match between Cardiff and Norwich

Cardiff and Norwich will play against each other in another bottom derby among the struggling teams in the Premier League this year. Currently Cardiff is in a series of four consecutive losses, while Norwich has only two wins in their last ten matches.

Cardiff’s owner Vincent Tan showed that there is still much to learn about what it is to lead a team from the Premier League. First he came into open conflict with the previous club manager Malky Mackay, who was fired afterwards, but then he appointed the new team’s manager Ole Gunnar Solskjær just before a series of matches against the top teams Arsenal, Manchester City and Manchester United. It was more than logical that Cardiff lost their matches and Ole Gunnar Solskjær hardly enjoyed his start as a manager in the strongest league in the world.

However, the bookmakers put the hosts from Cardiff as the favorite in this match. The bets for their victory are accepted by bet-at-home with odds of 2.2. The rate at bet365 is 2.3, while William Hill offers 2.25.

The draw is also a likely outcome in this match. The coefficients of the three major bookmakers are 3.2 with bet-at-home, 3.25 with William Hill and 3.4 with bet365.

Norwich’s chances to walk away with the three points from Cardiff City Stadium are estimated with odds between 3.3 and 3.4.

Cardiff have scored just three goals in their last five matches at home, which is not a particularly great result. Norwich are better with four goals scored in their last five matches as a guest. This suggests that the chances for a not very efficient match are not huge. That’s why the coefficient of bet365 for Under 2.5 goals scored in this match of 1.75 seems to me more than promising.

Moreover, the main purpose for both teams will be to prevent an eventual loss. Something that is not conducive for open play and many created goal attempts.

Handball Betting

Handball is not one of the world’s major sports. However, there are enough matches that bettors can wager on games on a pretty consistent basis. Handball is a fast paced game and is very exciting to watch. It is well respected by the international community evidenced by the fact that it is played in the Olympics.

It is not difficult to find an online sportsbook, which offers handball betting even though it is not extremely popular. However, not every sportsbook will offer it. There are several major events, which attract the most handball bettors. They include the Olympics, The European Championship, The World handball Championship, The EHF Cup, The Liga Asobal and The Bundesliga. Individuals can also bet on league play, with the European League being the most prominent.
Handball Betting Types and Odds

There are a variety of handball bets that can be made. This it makes it ideal for people who enjoy the sport (or at least are willing to make money from it) and appreciate the ability to make lots of different bets. Below, we will list some of the most predominate ones.

Single Match Bets: This is a bet on which team will win a particular match. Such bets are referred to as match coupons, two-way or three way-handicaps. It is also possible to wager on a draw or no winner. Draws pay out the best odds because they are rare occurrences. When a person wagers a two-way handicap, they are not allowed to bet on a draw. Three-way handicaps differ from two-way handicaps in this regard. Individuals are allowed to wager on draws.

Winner Bets: This is a bet on which team will win a particular match. The odds will differ based on how close the teams are in term of ability. When a clearly dominant team is playing, the odds may be 2 to 1. However, wagers on the weaker team might payout 500 to 1. As a result, an upset can result in a $10 bet paying out $5,000.

Finishing Position Bets: This wager is on the place that a particular team will finish in a tournament or league play. Individuals can bet on an all-out winner or bet that a team will place in the top three.

Goals Scored: This is a pretty popular over/under bet. Individuals get to wager on whether or not a match score will be less then or more then the score listed by a sportsbook.

Handball Major Events

Handball is similar to other sports in that it is dominated by major events. Below is a list of some of the major events in the sport of handball.

1) The Olympic Games
2) The EHF Cup
3) The European League
4) The European Championship
5) The World Handball Championship
6) World Women’s Championship

Be sure to take note of when some of these major handball events are scheduled so you are prepared to bet on them accordingly.

Handball Betting Strategy and Tips

Individuals interested in handball betting need to become informed as much as possible about the game, namely which teams and players are the best. Knowing this information will help bettors make the best bets possible. Wagering blindly is not recommended.

Comparing sportsbooks to determine who has the odds is very important as well. The best odds pay out the most. If a person has decided to wager on handball, it makes sense to get as much money as they can if they win.

There are many different types of handball bets. It is always a good idea to only make bets that a person is comfortable with. This might include betting on a match winner or over/under on the score. These are two of the easiest available wagers. Finding information on which the best teams are and their match scores for a season is easy enough to do. This information can be used to make informed wagers.

It is never a good idea to bet without properly researching the sport. While it definitely can be done, it is not recommended. Doing so would be akin to playing slots. Sports gambling differs from these sorts of games of chance, because wagers are, or at least should be, based on certain and reliable information. An individual can increase their odds of choosing the right team, simply by doing some research. Obviously, this won’t ensure that a person wagers successfully. Teams and players have off nights.

In many instances, it is easier to wager on handball games online. This is especially true for people who do not live in areas were handball is played. The Internet makes it possible for individuals to bet on any eligible handball games. Thus, it becomes possible for an American-based player to wager on a European league handball match or tournament.

Is Sterling debacle good for the NBA? Plus NBA Finals Exact Game Odds

Apparently, it’s not too soon. Even while the question of what will happen to the LA Clippers now that former owner Donald Sterling has stepped away is still not entirely answered, pundits are beginning to move into tertiary threads. One recent question asked, entirely hypothetically, was if the Donald Sterling debacle was “good” for the NBA.

The article in question stipulated that the NBA had been faced with a watershed opportunity, not a pleasant one by any means, but a real moment in time. And the commissioner took full advantage, letting his players, his owners, and his fans understand that overt racism –will not be tolerated in the NBA. Other leagues had been given opportunities with similar “equality” moments, but chose to punt… or to fail miserably. This comparison gave the NBA a certain celebrity status, a leg up in the vastly competitive world of professional sports.

It’s no secret that the NBA has been struggling in recent years. Not like the NHL, but basketball is a perennial also-ran when compared to the NFL and MLB, and even NCAA football. The league has certainly lost steam since the glory days of Magic, Bird, and Michael. A steady stream of superstars failed to bring in the numbers, and several lackluster seasons pushed even longtime fans away.

Basketball needed a standout moment, and Sterling’s private ignorance gave them one. They were suddenly on a national stage in a way that they had not been in decades. What would they do with their time? What they did, is draw a line in the sand… while speaking the language of a new generation of potential fans for whom race is largely a non-issue.

If the NBA wanted to turn Millennials on to the game, they definitely handled the situation well. Now they just need to keep it interesting on the court.

Ronn Torossian is a regular contributor to Gambling911 – Friend him on Facebook here.

We have your latest odds on Exact Games in the 2014 NBA Finals.

4 Games Heat Win 25/1

4 Games Spurs Win 12/1

5 Games Heat Win 13/1

5 Games Spurs Win 6/1

6 Games Heat Win +310

6 Games Spurs Win 4/1

7 Games Heat Win 6/1

7 Games Spurs Win +250

Five reasons why Brazil will win World Cup 2014

Most people’s current firm favourites for any sort of international tournament, at almost any age level, are Spain – and many have backed Vicente del Bosque’s men to continue their previously unheard of domination of the international football scene when they kick off their 2014 World Cup campaign next summer.

Teams like Germany, Holland, Argentina and Italy have all been considered as contenders for the crown on offer at the Maracana on July 13 2014.

However, one national team that has constantly slipped under the radar, and is almost being considered an underdog for the tournament is, surprisingly enough, the host nation itself: Brazil.

Here’s a look at some of the reasons for which Luiz Felipe Scolari’s side should be considered favourites for the tournament.

1. Luiz Felipe Scolari

In veteran manager Scolari, Brazil have a manager who knows what it takes to win a World Cup. Admitted, he may not have the genius of Ronaldo at his disposal today, but his experience with the Brazilian national team – which he led to international glory in 2002 – and the Portuguese national team – his CV contains a Euro 2004 final appearance and a fourth-place finish in Germany in 2006 – will stand his team in good stead.

A poor start to his second period at the helm of the national squad did not bode so well but, of late, the performances have improved – and it looks like he is getting his team of superstars to gel well.

2. Home advantage

Only six World Cups have been won by the host nation – the most recent being France’s triumphant 1998 campaign – and Brazil will fancy themselves for the coming edition, mainly for the reason that most European teams are not suited to the sweltering heat and humidity of Brazilian climes.

Spain seem to have acclimatised themselves to the conditions here, but Brazil will be hoping that the weather conditions, and of course having tens of thousands of Brazilians supporting their players, will play an important role in handing the Selecao their sixth World Cup triumph.

3. A squad brimming with individual quality

It probably goes without saying, but Brazil have lived up to their mythical reputation of churning out world-class offensive players. From what we have seen, Neymar – the man entrusted with spearheading this squad’s challenge for the title – could well follow in the footsteps of legends of days gone by, like Ronaldo, Ronaldinho and Romario.

With a supporting cast of established stars like Hulk, David Luiz, Dani Alves and captain Thiago Silva, and young talent like Oscar, Lucas Moura and Paulinho, Brazil could well boast one of the strongest squads on display today.

4. Strength in depth

Scolari has at his disposal not just a starting XI brimming with world-class talent – or even a squad of just 23 quality players – but enough quality to form two or three national squads.

Just consider the fact that players of the quality of Rafael da Silva, Cassio, Elano, Fernandinho, Robinho, Willian, Heurelho Gomes, Ronaldinho, Sandro, Leandro Damiao, Taison, Philippe Coutinho, Ramires, Lucas Leiva, Luisao and many more are not even in the 23-man squad for the Confederations Cup.

With one more year left for players of such immense ability to prove themselves at club level, what can be guaranteed is that Scolari will have a tough job on his hands when the time to select the World Cup squad is finally at hand.

5. Ageing Italian, Spanish and English sides

While most managers always maintain that their only focus is their own squad, it cannot be questioned that it is always prudent to know your enemies better than you know yourself – which is exactly why Scolari will be encouraged that the Spanish and Italian squads are approaching the end of a cycle that has brought them immense success.

Players like Xavi Hernandez, Andres Iniesta, Xabi Alonso, David Villa and Carles Puyol are not getting any younger, whereas Italian manager Cesare Prandelli will be contemplating the impending closing of the curtains for the careers of stalwarts like Andrea Pirlo, Gigi Buffon and Giorgio Chiellini.

While both squads probably have enough talent to replace these icons of the game (Spain certainly do) in the long run, the World Cup in 2014 probably presents to Brazil as good a chance as they will get to lift the trophy that Brazilians so enthusiastically covet.

These reasons, and many more, will be encouraging reading for Scolari and co. as they look to make the most of their current squad of brilliant talent, by bringing home the ultimate honour: the World Cup.

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